Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas San Antonio
Southland
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#231
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#199
Pace70.6#106
Improvement+0.7#145

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#227
Improvement+2.3#63

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#233
Improvement-1.6#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four99.9% n/a n/a
First Round67.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2010 184   @ Evansville L 73-77 29%     0 - 1 -1.9 +1.0 +0.9
  Nov 22, 2010 277   Troy W 81-70 74%     1 - 1 +0.8 -5.3 -4.5
  Nov 30, 2010 172   San Jose St. W 72-63 50%     2 - 1 +5.4 -2.0 -1.2
  Dec 02, 2010 257   @ UC Riverside L 75-82 46%     2 - 2 -9.6 -1.3 -1.6
  Dec 04, 2010 220   @ Pepperdine W 86-81 36%     3 - 2 +5.0 +0.4 -0.2
  Dec 11, 2010 202   @ Houston W 68-63 34%     4 - 2 +5.6 +0.2 +0.6
  Dec 20, 2010 306   Samford L 73-74 81%     4 - 3 -13.9 -6.6 -6.3
  Dec 23, 2010 87   @ Tulsa L 67-92 14%     4 - 4 -16.7 +3.6 +3.6
  Dec 30, 2010 237   @ Bowling Green L 59-70 41%     4 - 5 -12.1 -1.2 -0.5
  Jan 03, 2011 69   @ Oklahoma St. L 63-79 10%     4 - 6 -5.3 +5.1 +4.9
  Jan 08, 2011 179   Sam Houston St. L 59-62 52%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -7.1 -2.4 -1.8
  Jan 12, 2011 311   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 55-47 63%     5 - 7 1 - 1 +1.0 -3.8 -2.7
  Jan 15, 2011 209   Stephen F. Austin L 59-68 60%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -15.0 -3.2 -3.2
  Jan 19, 2011 262   @ Northwestern St. W 63-58 48%     6 - 8 2 - 2 +2.0 -2.2 -0.6
  Jan 22, 2011 248   Texas St. W 88-84 68%     7 - 8 3 - 2 -4.3 -4.0 -4.1
  Jan 29, 2011 179   @ Sam Houston St. L 67-88 29%     7 - 9 3 - 3 -18.8 +0.7 +0.6
  Feb 02, 2011 258   Texas Arlington W 70-62 70%     8 - 9 4 - 3 -1.0 -4.5 -4.1
  Feb 05, 2011 242   Lamar W 70-64 66%     9 - 9 5 - 3 -1.8 -4.1 -3.4
  Feb 09, 2011 253   @ SE Louisiana L 73-79 46%     9 - 10 5 - 4 -8.5 -1.1 -1.7
  Feb 12, 2011 209   @ Stephen F. Austin L 66-70 35%     9 - 11 5 - 5 -3.7 +0.2 -0.1
  Feb 16, 2011 197   McNeese St. W 65-61 57%     10 - 11 6 - 5 -1.2 -3.3 -1.8
  Feb 19, 2011 243   @ Nicholls St. L 52-54 42%     10 - 12 6 - 6 -3.5 -1.1 -0.4
  Feb 23, 2011 311   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-62 82%     11 - 12 7 - 6 -4.3 -6.8 -6.1
  Feb 26, 2011 248   @ Texas St. L 80-82 44%     11 - 13 7 - 7 -3.9 -0.6 -1.4
  Mar 02, 2011 338   Central Arkansas W 70-58 92%     12 - 13 8 - 7 -7.2 -9.9 -8.8
  Mar 05, 2011 258   @ Texas Arlington W 68-63 47%     13 - 13 9 - 7 +2.3 -0.8 -1.6
  Mar 09, 2011 262   Northwestern St. W 97-96 60%     14 - 13 -5.1 -2.3 -3.8
  Mar 10, 2011 179   Sam Houston St. W 79-70 40%     15 - 13 +8.1 +0.0 -0.5
  Mar 12, 2011 197   McNeese St. W 75-72 44%     16 - 13 +1.0 -0.8 -1.1
Projected Record 16.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0